导图社区 公司理财 X
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编辑于2021-05-31 16:31:05公司理财
R19capital budgeting
概念
hard capital rationing
budget is fixed
inflation对tax,profit影响
inf+,dep被低估,tax saving作用降低,real tax+,profit lower than expected
NPV
expansion/replacement project
intial outlay
FCInv(计算折旧)
NWInv=current a-l
期初增加减少投资对NPV影响数值:两部分期初的loutlay和期间的dep(如果设计固定资产要考虑税,t*d
operating outlay
(S-C-D)(1-t)+D
(S—D)(1—t)+D*t
S-C-D相当于EBIT
表的形式出题
terminating stage
1,NWInv
2,sal-(sal-B)t
区别与计算
least common multiple of lives approach
2 solution
equivalent annual annuity(EAA)approach
本质比较PMT(前面先算NPV为PV
比较不同lives的NPV
risk analysis评估项目的投资风险
technique
sensitivity analysis
one variable
scenario analysis
monte carlo simulation
Rproject
CAPM better,WACC reflect the risk of whole company
projects with real option
type
timing
sizing
abandonment option;expansion option
flexibility影响NPV的参数
pric-setting option;production产能 flexibility option
NPV
decision tree;
if NPV<0,是否行权(看时间点未来有option选择,现在无不可以舍掉NPV小于0的
EI economic income投资
is the profit realized from an investment
EI=cash flow-economic depr
EI1=PV(0)*r
EI2=PV(1)*r
课后题13
EP economic profit公司
NPV=market value added is equal to the present value of EP
课后题14
EP=EBIT(1-T)-Capital初*wacc
RI residual income股东
RI=NI-Equity*Re
equity考察
R20Capital structure
theory
MM(计算:多公式)
assumption:完全有效市场
WACC=(D/V)Rd(1-t)+(E/V)Re
cost of debt=Rd(1-t)
without tax
MM1
capital structure irrelevance(Vl=Vu)
leverage+,rd-,re+,WACC constant
MM2
re=ro+(ro-rd)(D/E)
V=EBIT/R0
EBIT=EBT=NI
higher leverage raises the cost of equity
with tax
MM1
WACC is minimized at 100% debt(Vl=Vu+t*d)
t*d tax shield
Equity=Vl-Debt
MM2
re=ro+(ro-rd)(D/E)(1-t)
Re的上升(速度慢)不能100%抵消WACC的下降
V=EBIT(1-T)/WACC
未考虑distress
static trade-off theory
at the point where additional debt would cause the costs of financial distress
Vl=Vu+t*d-PV(costs of financial distress)
t*d=PV(costs of financial distress),optimal capital structure,firm value max
disadvantage:financial distress难以量化
考虑了distress
pecking order theory
disclose less information
首选internal financial;debt;final choice is equity
相关概念
financial distress
direct cost;indirect cost
agency cost
components:monitoring/bonding/residual cost
debt+,agency cost-
目标资本结构难以实现的原因
short-term opp;market value fluctuations;impractical and expen to maintain target structure
不同情况下是借债还是re融资
high inflation 与debt financing反向关系
利润分配R21Div and share repurchase
概念相关
DRP div reinvestment plan
将公司发放的现金股利,员工可选择换成shares;三种方式
缺点:税负重
cash div
A-,E-;Liquidity ratio(CA-/CL)-;financial leverage(D/A,D/E)+
stock div
不影响A,E ,Liquidity ratio,financial leverage
share+,price-,EPS-,P/E constant
retained earning -,contributed capital+ same amount,总capital不变
stock splits
=stock div
two for one split=10送10
会计处理不同:doesnot affect any of the balances in shareholder equity accounts
reverse stock splits(并股)
增高股价,减少在外发行股份数
区别与联系
Analysis of div safety(coverage ratio)
NI method
div coverage ratio=NI/div paid
free cash flow method
FCFE coverage ratio=FCFE/(div+share repurchase)
div policy
does not matter
bird in band
tax aversion
clientele effect
计算:div(1-td)=CG(1-tcg)
signaling
发股利暗示未来有growth
影响股利政策因素
investment opp;volatility;financial flexibility(回购更灵活);flotation cost;contractual and legal restrictions
tax(system)
double-taxation
税负最重
split-tax rate system
tax-imputation system
对投资者最有利
计算real tax
div policy
constant div payout policy
固定百分比
stable div policy
expected increase in div=(expected*target payout ratio-previous div)*adjustment factor
减少股利剧烈波动
expected div=last div+(expected*target payout ratio-previous div)*adjustment factor
residual div policy
div=earning-(capital budget*equity% in capital structure)
先满足投资需求
计算
share repurchase
company buy back its own shares
methods
buy in the open market
不利于控制成本
buy back a fixed number of shares at fixed price(tender order)
dutch order(tender order只规定数量,价格有区间,从低到高买)
repurchase by direct negotiation(和一个大股东直接协商)
对财务报表的影响
当用自有资金时
B/S:A-,E-;leverage ratio(D/E)+
I/S;Earnings yield<>=interest income and earnings,EPS变化-+constant
当借钱回购时
B/S:Aconstant,D+,E-;leverage ratio(D/E)+
I/S;Earnings yield<>=after-tax cost of financing the repurchase,EPS变化-+constant
EPS=earning/shares
PE=P/EPS
earnings yield=EPS/P就是P/E的倒数
BVPS每股净资产(Equity/shares)
BVPS><=market price(repurchase price),BVPS+ - =
R22corporate goverance and ESG
Ownership & voting rights
dispersed ownership & dispersed voting rights
principal-agent problem
concentrated ownership & concentrated voting rights
principal-principal problem大股东与小股东
dispersed ownership & concentrated voting rights
duality structure
concentrated ownership & dispersed voting rights
voting cap
influential shareholder
8个
股权结构对公司治理的影响
股权越集中,对BOD要求的独立性低;反之,则高
board structer
two-tier 好于one tier
two-tier board包含supervisory,management board
分析师角度评估公司治理
board 6
executive remuneration
transparency;linkage;claw-back policy(公司业绩不好吐回奖金)
voting rights
straight voting;dual-class share
R23mergers and acquisitions
相关概念
收购动机之一bootstrapping
小结论:高pe收购低pe,EPS+
divestitures
ways
equity carve out(cash inflow);spin-off;split-offs;liquidation
reason
change in strategic focus;poor fit(low profit);reverse synergy;CF needs
分类
方向
horizontal;vertical;conglomerate merger(收购完全不相关的公司)
形式
statutory merge;subsidiary;consolidation
收购对象,标的
stock purchase;asset purchase
支付方式
cash offer;securities offer
计算哪种利润高
attitude
acquire
bear hug(BOD);tender offer(shareholders
target(hostile)
pre-offer
poison pill
flip-in pill;dead hand provision
poison out
bondholder提前赎回
states with restrictive takeover laws
staggered board;restricted vooting rights
supermajority vooting provision;fair price amendment;golden parachutes
post-offer
just say no defense;litigation;greenmial;share repurchase;leveraged recapitalization
crown jewel defense;pac-man defense;white kinight defense;white squire defense
antitrust law
change in HHI
Judge challenge
value target company
权益最后R是非上市公司估值
DCF
(权益重点考察)GGM;time multiplier
comparable company analysis
+premium
1类似几家公司的ratio ave 2收购方price ave
comparable transaction analysis
price用的takeover price,已经考虑了溢价
可能穿插case计算
evaluate a merge bid
V(at)=Va+Vt+S-C
GAIN(A)=synergy-takeover premium
GAIN(T)=takeover premium- premerger value of T